Resource Economics
YOU Zhen, CHEN Yijie, YANG Yanzhao
Food security has always been the cornerstone of national stability and a critical pillar of sustainable development. Exploring the laws of food supply, utilization, and structural evolution is of great significance for ensuring people's well-being and promoting socio-economic stability. However, as an agriculturally dominated and less-developed economy, the food supply has long been both a core concern and a developmental challenge for Nepal. This study employed the emergy analysis method to systematically examine the changing characteristics and structures of food supply and consumption in Nepal from 1990 to 2023, based on statistical data from the UN Food and Agriculture Organization, Nepal's Central Bureau of Statistics, and Nepal Customs. Two main conclusions were drawn. (1) Between 1990 and 2023, the total emergy of Nepal's food supply increased by over threefold (from 2.46×10²² sej to 8.27×10²² sej), and per capita emergy doubled. However, driven by shifts in dietary preferences, rising demands for dietary balance, and insufficient domestic agricultural production, the food independence ratio (FIR) exhibited a sustained decline and bottomed out in 2021. Concurrently, self-sufficiency rates plummeted for key commodities: cereals (-9%), fruits (-46%), and vegetable oils (-46%) compared to baseline levels. This highlights inadequate supply chain stability and a high reliance on global markets. (2) In terms of consumption structure, both the total and per capita emergy of food consumption fluctuated upward with convergent trends. The proportion of animal-based consumption decreased from 43.00% to 34.97%, while plant-based consumption increased by over 8%. However, there were no fundamental changes in the internal supply structures of either category, with vegetable oils and dairy products remaining dominant, respectively. The results of this study indicate that Nepal's food system faces contradictions between yield growth and the demand for dietary diversification. Strengthening the resilience of local supply chains, formulating comprehensive policies, and enhancing international cooperation are essential for addressing these food security challenges.