LIU Yuzhi, CAO Wenping, WANG Fuyuan, YU Ling
资源与生态学报.
录用日期: 2024-09-14
In order to improve the LER index assessment, this
study takes the Pearl River Delta Urban Agglomeration (PRDUA) as the research
object, introduces the vulnerability assessment method for human-earth areal
system, and analyzes the vulnerability, landscape disturbance, and improved LER
of the PRDUA in 2002, 2007, 2012, 2017, and 2022. The contribution of ecological
land restoration to the evolution of LER is measured using the factor detector
and interaction detector results of the Geodetector. Four restoration
indicators are selected: ecological land area, proportion, cohesion, and AI
(Aggregation Index). The results show that: (1) Between 2002 and 2022, the
vulnerability in PRDUA exhibited a decreasing trend, albeit with notable
spatial disparities. Areas of low vulnerability predominantly lie on the
periphery of PRDUA, whereas high vulnerability zones are concentrated within
its core. (2) The change in LER and vulnerability is highly consistent. Between
2002 and 2022, the high-risk areas show a shrinking trend and are mainly
located in Guangzhou, Foshan, Dongguan, and Shenzhen. Low-risk areas are mainly
located at the edge of the PRDUA. (3) Based on the Geodetector, the contribution
of single factor of ecological land restoration to LER change is low, and the
contribution of two factor interaction is significantly enhanced, especially
the cohesion and AI interactions contributed the most. In the period 2012-2022,
the q-value of the explanatory power of the interaction between cohesion
change and AI change reached 62.213%, which was the strongest explanation for
changes in LER. These findings provide an innovative approach to understanding
and mitigating LER in highly urbanized areas, and are also important for
building ecological security patterns and promoting sustainable development.