Journal of Resources and Ecology ›› 2020, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (5): 483-498.DOI: 10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x.2020.05.006
• Resource Economy • Previous Articles Next Articles
Received:
2020-03-16
Accepted:
2020-04-22
Online:
2020-09-30
Published:
2020-09-30
Contact:
LIU Xianzhao*
Supported by:
LIU Xianzhao*. A Comparative Decomposition Analysis of the Factors Driving Energy-related Carbon Emissions from Three Typical Provinces in China: Jiangsu, Henan and Inner Mongolia[J]. Journal of Resources and Ecology, 2020, 11(5): 483-498.
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URL: http://www.jorae.cn/EN/10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x.2020.05.006
Coefficients | Raw coal | Coke | Crude oil | Gasoline | Kerosene | Diesel oil | Fuel oil | Natural gas |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ei | 0.7143 | 0.9714 | 1.4286 | 1.4714 | 1.4714 | 1.4571 | 1.4286 | 13.300 |
pi | 0.7559 | 0.8550 | 0.5857 | 0.5538 | 0.5714 | 0.5921 | 0.6185 | 0.4483 |
Table 1 Coefficients of the eight fossil energy resources used in carbon emission calculations
Coefficients | Raw coal | Coke | Crude oil | Gasoline | Kerosene | Diesel oil | Fuel oil | Natural gas |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ei | 0.7143 | 0.9714 | 1.4286 | 1.4714 | 1.4714 | 1.4571 | 1.4286 | 13.300 |
pi | 0.7559 | 0.8550 | 0.5857 | 0.5538 | 0.5714 | 0.5921 | 0.6185 | 0.4483 |
Provinces | ΔCT | ΔCEG | ΔCES | ΔCEI | ΔCPS | ΔCUL | ΔCRPR | ΔCUPEC | ΔCRPEC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Henan | 102.87 | 270.03 | -9.76 | -158.80 | 4.62 | 6.74 | -4.93 | 0.14 | -5.17 |
Jiangsu | 181.89 | 373.04 | -5.92 | -210.89 | 6.17 | 6.60 | -1.51 | 6.94 | 7.46 |
Inner Mongolia | 153.36 | 246.98 | -4.04 | -99.35 | 0.10 | 1.40 | -2.19 | 1.15 | 9.31 |
Table 2 Cumulative decomposition results of various factors in the three provinces during 1996-2017 (unit: ×106 t)
Provinces | ΔCT | ΔCEG | ΔCES | ΔCEI | ΔCPS | ΔCUL | ΔCRPR | ΔCUPEC | ΔCRPEC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Henan | 102.87 | 270.03 | -9.76 | -158.80 | 4.62 | 6.74 | -4.93 | 0.14 | -5.17 |
Jiangsu | 181.89 | 373.04 | -5.92 | -210.89 | 6.17 | 6.60 | -1.51 | 6.94 | 7.46 |
Inner Mongolia | 153.36 | 246.98 | -4.04 | -99.35 | 0.10 | 1.40 | -2.19 | 1.15 | 9.31 |
Fig. 4 Contribution rates of various factors to provincial carbon emissions during the period of 1996-2017 Note: The contribution ratio is expressed as the ratio of each of the various effects to the total change of carbon emissions. The same applies to Fig. 5 below.
Provinces | PGR | AGGR | ACREI | AUGR | GRRPR | AGRUPEC | AGRRPEC | AGRCC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Henan | 18.33 | 34.66 | -3.35 | 8.23 | -38.93 | 0.10 | -1.92 | -1.45 |
Jiangsu | 12.92 | 40.86 | -3.34 | 7.22 | -57.02 | 7.81 | 26.08 | -1.13 |
Inner Mongolia | 9.64 | 26.98 | -3.01 | 2.92 | -38.28 | 2.29 | 32.35 | -0.57 |
Table 3 Statistical indicators related to carbon emissions in the three provinces during the period of 1996-2017 (unit: %)
Provinces | PGR | AGGR | ACREI | AUGR | GRRPR | AGRUPEC | AGRRPEC | AGRCC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Henan | 18.33 | 34.66 | -3.35 | 8.23 | -38.93 | 0.10 | -1.92 | -1.45 |
Jiangsu | 12.92 | 40.86 | -3.34 | 7.22 | -57.02 | 7.81 | 26.08 | -1.13 |
Inner Mongolia | 9.64 | 26.98 | -3.01 | 2.92 | -38.28 | 2.29 | 32.35 | -0.57 |
Periods | Provinces | ΔCT | ΔCEG | ΔCES | ΔCEI | ΔCPS | ΔCUL | ΔCRPR | ΔCUPEC | ΔCRPEC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 9th Five-Year (1996-2000) | Henan | 2.71 | 26.48 | -0.42 | -25.65 | 1.00 | 1.22 | -0.90 | 0.83 | 0.15 |
Jiangsu | -16.41 | 36.73 | -2.04 | -50.73 | 0.74 | 0.91 | -0.27 | -2.22 | 0.47 | |
Inner Mongolia | 5.02 | 16.33 | -0.58 | -9.84 | 0.15 | 0.16 | -0.12 | -0.89 | -0.19 | |
The 10th Five-Year (2001-2005) | Henan | 78.40 | 57.30 | 2.75 | 19.78 | 0.34 | 0.41 | -1.11 | -2.99 | 1.92 |
Jiangsu | 83.50 | 58.67 | 3.71 | 15.34 | 1.37 | 2.00 | -0.18 | 2.80 | -0.21 | |
Inner Mongolia | 70.84 | 51.52 | 2.18 | 3.76 | 0.20 | 0.36 | -0.23 | 8.31 | 4.75 | |
The 11th Five-Year (2006-2010) | Henan | 6.76 | 101.11 | -0.30 | -89.64 | 1.27 | 1.30 | -1.20 | -3.88 | -1.90 |
Jiangsu | 55.88 | 96.61 | -2.01 | -44.83 | 1.00 | 1.04 | -0.16 | 3.16 | 1.07 | |
Inner Mongolia | 61.21 | 83.06 | -2.60 | -28.70 | 0.23 | 0.79 | -0.83 | 6.51 | 2.75 | |
The 12th Five-Year (2011-2015) | Henan | -58.55 | 73.62 | -10.03 | -121.07 | 0.63 | 1.24 | -1.33 | -1.21 | -0.40 |
Jiangsu | 12.19 | 91.74 | -5.60 | -78.64 | 0.36 | 0.77 | -0.27 | 2.69 | 1.14 | |
Inner Mongolia | -31.51 | 69.83 | -2.31 | -85.40 | 0.14 | 0.56 | -0.61 | -12.08 | -1.64 | |
Initial stage of the 13th Five-Year (2016-2017) | Henan | 14.57 | 14.31 | -6.38 | 6.88 | 0.19 | 0.31 | -0.22 | 2.22 | -2.74 |
Jiangsu | -2.15 | 18.22 | -0.16 | -21.53 | 0.18 | 0.21 | -0.08 | 0.73 | 0.28 | |
Inner Mongolia | -13.04 | 7.36 | -1.33 | -22.04 | 0.07 | 0.05 | -0.16 | 0.18 | 2.83 |
Table 4 Decomposition results of various factors affecting carbon emissions in the three provinces during different periods (unit: ×106 t)
Periods | Provinces | ΔCT | ΔCEG | ΔCES | ΔCEI | ΔCPS | ΔCUL | ΔCRPR | ΔCUPEC | ΔCRPEC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 9th Five-Year (1996-2000) | Henan | 2.71 | 26.48 | -0.42 | -25.65 | 1.00 | 1.22 | -0.90 | 0.83 | 0.15 |
Jiangsu | -16.41 | 36.73 | -2.04 | -50.73 | 0.74 | 0.91 | -0.27 | -2.22 | 0.47 | |
Inner Mongolia | 5.02 | 16.33 | -0.58 | -9.84 | 0.15 | 0.16 | -0.12 | -0.89 | -0.19 | |
The 10th Five-Year (2001-2005) | Henan | 78.40 | 57.30 | 2.75 | 19.78 | 0.34 | 0.41 | -1.11 | -2.99 | 1.92 |
Jiangsu | 83.50 | 58.67 | 3.71 | 15.34 | 1.37 | 2.00 | -0.18 | 2.80 | -0.21 | |
Inner Mongolia | 70.84 | 51.52 | 2.18 | 3.76 | 0.20 | 0.36 | -0.23 | 8.31 | 4.75 | |
The 11th Five-Year (2006-2010) | Henan | 6.76 | 101.11 | -0.30 | -89.64 | 1.27 | 1.30 | -1.20 | -3.88 | -1.90 |
Jiangsu | 55.88 | 96.61 | -2.01 | -44.83 | 1.00 | 1.04 | -0.16 | 3.16 | 1.07 | |
Inner Mongolia | 61.21 | 83.06 | -2.60 | -28.70 | 0.23 | 0.79 | -0.83 | 6.51 | 2.75 | |
The 12th Five-Year (2011-2015) | Henan | -58.55 | 73.62 | -10.03 | -121.07 | 0.63 | 1.24 | -1.33 | -1.21 | -0.40 |
Jiangsu | 12.19 | 91.74 | -5.60 | -78.64 | 0.36 | 0.77 | -0.27 | 2.69 | 1.14 | |
Inner Mongolia | -31.51 | 69.83 | -2.31 | -85.40 | 0.14 | 0.56 | -0.61 | -12.08 | -1.64 | |
Initial stage of the 13th Five-Year (2016-2017) | Henan | 14.57 | 14.31 | -6.38 | 6.88 | 0.19 | 0.31 | -0.22 | 2.22 | -2.74 |
Jiangsu | -2.15 | 18.22 | -0.16 | -21.53 | 0.18 | 0.21 | -0.08 | 0.73 | 0.28 | |
Inner Mongolia | -13.04 | 7.36 | -1.33 | -22.04 | 0.07 | 0.05 | -0.16 | 0.18 | 2.83 |
Statistical indicators | The 9th Five-Year (1996-2000) | The 10th Five-Year (2001-2005) | The 11th Five-Year (2006-2010) | The 12th Five-Year (2011-2015) | Initial stage of the 13th Five-Year (2016-2017) | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Henan | Jiangsu | Inner Mongolia | Henan | Jiangsu | Inner Mongolia | Henan | Jiangsu | Inner Mongolia | Henan | Jiangsu | Inner Mongolia | Henan | Jiangsu | Inner Mongolia | |
PGR | 3.00 | 3.05 | 2.85 | -1.83 | 3.12 | 0.91 | 0.14 | 2.79 | 2.36 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 1.18 | 0.28 | 0.38 | 0.36 |
AGGR | 10.54 | 12.82 | 11.93 | 14.38 | 24.76 | 16.67 | 15.03 | 16.03 | 22.23 | 10.19 | 10.59 | 10.36 | 7.81 | 7.20 | 4.00 |
ACREI | -7.06 | -10.29 | -4.88 | 4.43 | 3.34 | 1.27 | -8.51 | -4.88 | -4.77 | -10.66 | -6.37 | -8.35 | 3.54 | -7.48 | -10.13 |
AUGR | 6.54 | 12.98 | 2.43 | 6.37 | 4.37 | 2.10 | 4.64 | 4.18 | 3.54 | 3.87 | 1.87 | 1.62 | 3.42 | 1.54 | 1.36 |
GRRPR | -5.89 | -19.51 | -6.07 | -8.23 | -13.76 | -6.49 | -8.93 | -18.06 | -13.42 | -10.57 | -12.13 | -8.48 | -3.22 | -3.22 | -2.14 |
AGRUPEC | 4.25 | -15.80 | -10.26 | -7.21 | 54.98 | 139.46 | -10.16 | 15.74 | 49.46 | -3.30 | 7.15 | -18.51 | 26.81 | 5.37 | 4.82 |
AGRRPEC | 0.20 | 11.79 | -2.62 | 5.21 | -3.97 | 75.26 | -1.21 | 73.03 | 15.24 | -0.52 | 18.21 | -5.31 | -33.10 | 11.44 | 45.18 |
AGRCCR | -0.63 | -3.05 | -0.66 | 1.77 | 2.24 | 2.38 | -0.81 | -1.24 | -2.16 | -6.32 | -2.62 | 2.09 | -16.65 | -2.59 | -3.69 |
Table 5 Description of statistical indices related to carbon emissions in the three provinces during different periods (unite: %)
Statistical indicators | The 9th Five-Year (1996-2000) | The 10th Five-Year (2001-2005) | The 11th Five-Year (2006-2010) | The 12th Five-Year (2011-2015) | Initial stage of the 13th Five-Year (2016-2017) | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Henan | Jiangsu | Inner Mongolia | Henan | Jiangsu | Inner Mongolia | Henan | Jiangsu | Inner Mongolia | Henan | Jiangsu | Inner Mongolia | Henan | Jiangsu | Inner Mongolia | |
PGR | 3.00 | 3.05 | 2.85 | -1.83 | 3.12 | 0.91 | 0.14 | 2.79 | 2.36 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 1.18 | 0.28 | 0.38 | 0.36 |
AGGR | 10.54 | 12.82 | 11.93 | 14.38 | 24.76 | 16.67 | 15.03 | 16.03 | 22.23 | 10.19 | 10.59 | 10.36 | 7.81 | 7.20 | 4.00 |
ACREI | -7.06 | -10.29 | -4.88 | 4.43 | 3.34 | 1.27 | -8.51 | -4.88 | -4.77 | -10.66 | -6.37 | -8.35 | 3.54 | -7.48 | -10.13 |
AUGR | 6.54 | 12.98 | 2.43 | 6.37 | 4.37 | 2.10 | 4.64 | 4.18 | 3.54 | 3.87 | 1.87 | 1.62 | 3.42 | 1.54 | 1.36 |
GRRPR | -5.89 | -19.51 | -6.07 | -8.23 | -13.76 | -6.49 | -8.93 | -18.06 | -13.42 | -10.57 | -12.13 | -8.48 | -3.22 | -3.22 | -2.14 |
AGRUPEC | 4.25 | -15.80 | -10.26 | -7.21 | 54.98 | 139.46 | -10.16 | 15.74 | 49.46 | -3.30 | 7.15 | -18.51 | 26.81 | 5.37 | 4.82 |
AGRRPEC | 0.20 | 11.79 | -2.62 | 5.21 | -3.97 | 75.26 | -1.21 | 73.03 | 15.24 | -0.52 | 18.21 | -5.31 | -33.10 | 11.44 | 45.18 |
AGRCCR | -0.63 | -3.05 | -0.66 | 1.77 | 2.24 | 2.38 | -0.81 | -1.24 | -2.16 | -6.32 | -2.62 | 2.09 | -16.65 | -2.59 | -3.69 |
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