Journal of Resources and Ecology ›› 2020, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (6): 589-597.DOI: 10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x.2020.06.006
Special Issue: 中国耕地资源与粮食安全
• Land Resource and Land Use • Previous Articles Next Articles
Received:
2020-05-30
Accepted:
2020-07-30
Online:
2020-11-30
Published:
2020-10-25
Contact:
XIE Hualin
About author:
CHENG hao, E-mail: Supported by:
CHENG Hao, XIE Hualin. Impact of Wheat Price Changes on Farmers’ Willingness to Participate in Fallow[J]. Journal of Resources and Ecology, 2020, 11(6): 589-597.
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URL: http://www.jorae.cn/EN/10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x.2020.06.006
Farmer feature | Levels | Percentage (%) |
---|---|---|
Gender | Male | 80.1 |
Female | 19.9 | |
Age | 35 years old or below | 4.1 |
36-45 years old | 8.7 | |
46-55 years old | 31.1 | |
56-65 years old | 38.8 | |
66 years old or older | 17.3 | |
Education level | Uneducated | 8.2 |
Primary school | 33.2 | |
Junior high school | 48.5 | |
High school, Secondary school, Vocational college | 9.7 | |
College or above | 0.1 | |
Does the family have an off-farm income? | Yes | 28.6 |
No | 71.4 | |
The expectation of fallow compensation | < 400 yuan mu-1 | 24.2 |
400-500 yuan mu-1 | 26.6 | |
500-600 yuan mu-1 | 23.4 | |
600-700 yuan mu-1 | 18.7 | |
> 700 yuan mu-1 | 7.1 |
Table 1 Farmers’ features and their expectations of fallow compensation
Farmer feature | Levels | Percentage (%) |
---|---|---|
Gender | Male | 80.1 |
Female | 19.9 | |
Age | 35 years old or below | 4.1 |
36-45 years old | 8.7 | |
46-55 years old | 31.1 | |
56-65 years old | 38.8 | |
66 years old or older | 17.3 | |
Education level | Uneducated | 8.2 |
Primary school | 33.2 | |
Junior high school | 48.5 | |
High school, Secondary school, Vocational college | 9.7 | |
College or above | 0.1 | |
Does the family have an off-farm income? | Yes | 28.6 |
No | 71.4 | |
The expectation of fallow compensation | < 400 yuan mu-1 | 24.2 |
400-500 yuan mu-1 | 26.6 | |
500-600 yuan mu-1 | 23.4 | |
600-700 yuan mu-1 | 18.7 | |
> 700 yuan mu-1 | 7.1 |
Farmer feature | Levels | Satisfied with the current compensation (%) | Unsatisfied with the current compensation (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Gender | Male | 55.45 | 44.55 |
Female | 28.00 | 72.00 | |
Age | 35 years old or below | 60.00 | 40.00 |
36-45 years old | 63.64 | 36.36 | |
46-55 years old | 53.85 | 46.15 | |
56-65 years old | 30.61 | 69.39 | |
66 years old or older | 77.27 | 22.73 | |
Education level | Uneducated | 60.00 | 40.00 |
Primary school | 32.31 | 67.69 | |
Junior high school | 57.38 | 42.62 | |
High school, secondary school, vocational college | 58.33 | 41.67 | |
College or above | 100.00 | 0.00 | |
Does the family have an off-farm income? | Yes | 63.89 | 36.11 |
No | 44.44 | 55.56 |
Table 2 The satisfaction of fallow compensation as related to different farmer features
Farmer feature | Levels | Satisfied with the current compensation (%) | Unsatisfied with the current compensation (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Gender | Male | 55.45 | 44.55 |
Female | 28.00 | 72.00 | |
Age | 35 years old or below | 60.00 | 40.00 |
36-45 years old | 63.64 | 36.36 | |
46-55 years old | 53.85 | 46.15 | |
56-65 years old | 30.61 | 69.39 | |
66 years old or older | 77.27 | 22.73 | |
Education level | Uneducated | 60.00 | 40.00 |
Primary school | 32.31 | 67.69 | |
Junior high school | 57.38 | 42.62 | |
High school, secondary school, vocational college | 58.33 | 41.67 | |
College or above | 100.00 | 0.00 | |
Does the family have an off-farm income? | Yes | 63.89 | 36.11 |
No | 44.44 | 55.56 |
Variables | β | S.E. | Sig. |
---|---|---|---|
ln (sown area) | 0.999 | 0.075 | 0.000*** |
ln (laborinput) | 0.033 | 0.019 | 0.019* |
ln (capital input) | 0.030 | 0.070 | 0.038* |
Age | 0.015 | 0.557 | 0.579 |
Educational level | -0.13 | -0.497 | 0.620 |
Constant | 7.153 | 0.473 | 0.000 |
R2 | 0.935 |
Table 3 The estimation of the Cobb-Douglas production function
Variables | β | S.E. | Sig. |
---|---|---|---|
ln (sown area) | 0.999 | 0.075 | 0.000*** |
ln (laborinput) | 0.033 | 0.019 | 0.019* |
ln (capital input) | 0.030 | 0.070 | 0.038* |
Age | 0.015 | 0.557 | 0.579 |
Educational level | -0.13 | -0.497 | 0.620 |
Constant | 7.153 | 0.473 | 0.000 |
R2 | 0.935 |
Classification | Farmers’ expected compensation | Planting income | Gap |
---|---|---|---|
Number of households | Number of households | ||
< 400 yuan | 30 | 32 | 2 |
400-500 yuan | 33 | 29 | -4 |
500-600 yuan | 29 | 27 | -2 |
600-700 yuan | 24 | 22 | -2 |
> 700 yuan | 8 | 14 | 6 |
Total | 124 | 124 | 0 |
Table 4 Comparison of farmers’ expected compensation and actual income per mu
Classification | Farmers’ expected compensation | Planting income | Gap |
---|---|---|---|
Number of households | Number of households | ||
< 400 yuan | 30 | 32 | 2 |
400-500 yuan | 33 | 29 | -4 |
500-600 yuan | 29 | 27 | -2 |
600-700 yuan | 24 | 22 | -2 |
> 700 yuan | 8 | 14 | 6 |
Total | 124 | 124 | 0 |
Winter wheat price (yuan per 500 g) | Price change (yuan per 500 g) | Shadow wage (yuan per day) | Average net income per mu (yuan) |
---|---|---|---|
0.81 | -0.3 | 12.07 | 229.16 |
0.91 | -0.2 | 12.97 | 322.38 |
1.01 | -0.1 | 13.87 | 415.61 |
1.11 | 0 | 15.07 | 507.30 |
1.21 | 0.1 | 15.82 | 601.03 |
1.31 | 0.2 | 17.05 | 692.08 |
1.41 | 0.3 | 17.80 | 786.31 |
Table 5 The effect of wheat price changes on planting income per mu
Winter wheat price (yuan per 500 g) | Price change (yuan per 500 g) | Shadow wage (yuan per day) | Average net income per mu (yuan) |
---|---|---|---|
0.81 | -0.3 | 12.07 | 229.16 |
0.91 | -0.2 | 12.97 | 322.38 |
1.01 | -0.1 | 13.87 | 415.61 |
1.11 | 0 | 15.07 | 507.30 |
1.21 | 0.1 | 15.82 | 601.03 |
1.31 | 0.2 | 17.05 | 692.08 |
1.41 | 0.3 | 17.80 | 786.31 |
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